Week 6 · Oct 15–19
Thursday, October 15
Sunday, October 18
Houston Texans@Jacksonville Jaguars
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville JaguarsHome | 1.76-132 | 57.1% | Value +0.4% |
| Houston TexansAway | 2.30+130 | 42.9% | No value −1.3% |
New York Jets@New England Patriots
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England PatriotsHome | 1.32-312 | 74.2% | No value −2.1% |
| New York JetsAway | 4.10+310 | 25.8% | Value +5.9% |
New Orleans Saints@New York Giants
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York GiantsHome | 2.02+102 | 49.0% | No value −1.0% |
| New Orleans SaintsAway | 1.93-108 | 51.0% | No value −1.6% |
Pittsburgh Steelers@Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersHome | 2.22+122 | 44.8% | No value −0.6% |
| Pittsburgh SteelersAway | 1.79-127 | 55.2% | No value −1.1% |
Chicago Bears@Atlanta Falcons
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta FalconsHome | 2.52+152 | 40.4% | Value +1.8% |
| Chicago BearsAway | 1.68-147 | 59.6% | Value +0.1% |
Tennessee Titans@Indianapolis Colts
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indianapolis ColtsHome | 1.34-294 | 73.3% | No value −1.8% |
| Tennessee TitansAway | 3.80+280 | 26.7% | Value +1.4% |
Carolina Panthers@Philadelphia Eagles
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia EaglesHome | 1.94-106 | 51.4% | No value −0.3% |
| Carolina PanthersAway | 2.02+102 | 48.6% | No value −1.8% |
Baltimore Ravens@Cleveland Browns
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland BrownsHome | 2.95+195 | 33.6% | No value −0.8% |
| Baltimore RavensAway | 1.50-200 | 66.4% | No value −0.5% |
Arizona Cardinals@Los Angeles Rams
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles RamsHome | 1.13-769 | 85.6% | No value −3.3% |
| Arizona CardinalsAway | 8.20+720 | 14.4% | Value +18.4% |
Los Angeles Chargers@Kansas City Chiefs
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City ChiefsHome | 1.26-385 | 77.9% | No value −1.9% |
| Los Angeles ChargersAway | 4.80+380 | 22.1% | Value +6.1% |
Buffalo Bills@Las Vegas Raiders
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas RaidersHome | 3.20+220 | 32.5% | Value +3.9% |
| Buffalo BillsAway | 1.46-217 | 67.5% | No value −1.4% |
Dallas Cowboys@Green Bay Packers
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay PackersHome | 1.91-110 | 52.1% | No value −0.4% |
| Dallas CowboysAway | 2.08+108 | 47.9% | No value −0.5% |
Monday, October 19
Week 7 · Oct 22–26
Thursday, October 22
Sunday, October 25
Pittsburgh Steelers@New Orleans Saints
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans SaintsHome | 2.20+120 | 44.8% | No value −1.5% |
| Pittsburgh SteelersAway | 1.76-132 | 55.2% | No value −2.8% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers@Carolina Panthers
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina PanthersHome | 1.66-152 | 58.1% | No value −3.5% |
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway | 2.40+140 | 41.9% | Value +0.5% |
New York Giants@Houston Texans
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston TexansHome | 1.28-357 | 76.8% | No value −1.7% |
| New York GiantsAway | 4.50+350 | 23.2% | Value +4.3% |
Cincinnati Bengals@Baltimore Ravens
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore RavensHome | 1.54-185 | 62.6% | No value −3.6% |
| Cincinnati BengalsAway | 2.60+160 | 37.4% | No value −2.8% |
Cleveland Browns@Tennessee Titans
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee TitansHome | 2.05+105 | 47.3% | No value −3.1% |
| Cleveland BrownsAway | 1.86-116 | 52.7% | No value −1.9% |
San Francisco 49ers@Atlanta Falcons
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta FalconsHome | 3.00+200 | 33.0% | No value −1.1% |
| San Francisco 49ersAway | 1.46-217 | 67.0% | No value −2.1% |
Miami Dolphins@New York Jets
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York JetsHome | 1.46-217 | 66.3% | No value −3.2% |
| Miami DolphinsAway | 2.88+188 | 33.7% | No value −3.0% |
Indianapolis Colts@Minnesota Vikings
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota VikingsHome | 1.44-227 | 67.3% | No value −3.1% |
| Indianapolis ColtsAway | 3.10+210 | 32.7% | Value +1.4% |
Denver Broncos@Arizona Cardinals
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona CardinalsHome | 3.05+205 | 33.0% | Value +0.7% |
| Denver BroncosAway | 1.44-227 | 67.0% | No value −3.5% |
Green Bay Packers@Detroit Lions
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit LionsHome | 1.54-185 | 64.3% | No value −0.9% |
| Green Bay PackersAway | 2.80+180 | 35.7% | No value −0.2% |
Los Angeles Rams@Las Vegas Raiders
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas RaidersHome | 3.65+265 | 27.1% | No value −1.2% |
| Los Angeles RamsAway | 1.33-303 | 72.9% | No value −3.0% |
Kansas City Chiefs@Seattle Seahawks
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle SeahawksHome | 1.74-135 | 56.2% | No value −2.2% |
| Kansas City ChiefsAway | 2.26+126 | 43.8% | No value −1.0% |
Monday, October 26
How to read this page
The best line is the highest price we have seen across the books we check. The fair probability strips the bookmaker's margin (the vig), so it is what the market would pay with no commission, and the value indicator compares the two: it says whether the price pays more or less than it should. All in one place, match by match.