Wednesday, October 14
Queens Park RangersvsDerby County
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queens Park RangersHome | 1.72-139 | 56.9% | No value −2.2% |
| Draw | 4.30+330 | 23.9% | Value +2.9% |
| Derby CountyAway | 5.50+450 | 19.2% | Value +5.6% |
PortsmouthvsSheffield United
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PortsmouthHome | 2.33+133 | 42.4% | No value −1.1% |
| Draw | 3.60+260 | 27.6% | No value −0.7% |
| Sheffield UnitedAway | 3.40+240 | 30.0% | Value +1.9% |
Norwich CityvsSouthampton
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich CityHome | 2.58+158 | 39.2% | Value +1.1% |
| Draw | 4.00+300 | 25.3% | Value +1.2% |
| SouthamptonAway | 2.80+180 | 35.5% | No value −0.6% |
Lincoln CityvsWest Ham United
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln CityHome | 5.30+430 | 20.0% | Value +6.2% |
| Draw | 4.34+334 | 23.2% | Value +0.5% |
| West Ham UnitedAway | 1.71-141 | 56.8% | No value −2.9% |
Friday, October 16
Saturday, October 17
MillwallvsLincoln City
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| MillwallHome | 2.00+100 | 48.7% | No value −2.7% |
| Draw | 3.65+265 | 26.3% | No value −3.9% |
| Lincoln CityAway | 3.85+285 | 25.0% | No value −3.8% |
WatfordvsCharlton Athletic
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| WatfordHome | 2.38+138 | 42.3% | Value +0.7% |
| Draw | 3.50+250 | 27.8% | No value −2.5% |
| Charlton AthleticAway | 3.40+240 | 29.8% | Value +1.5% |
MiddlesbroughvsCardiff City
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| MiddlesbroughHome | 1.61-164 | 61.6% | No value −0.9% |
| Draw | 5.00+400 | 20.0% | Value +0.2% |
| Cardiff CityAway | 5.80+480 | 18.4% | Value +6.8% |
Derby CountyvsStoke City
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby CountyHome | 2.60+160 | 37.1% | No value −3.5% |
| Draw | 3.40+240 | 28.7% | No value −2.6% |
| Stoke CityAway | 2.87+187 | 34.2% | No value −1.7% |
Wrexham AFCvsPreston North End
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham AFCHome | 1.79-127 | 54.0% | No value −3.4% |
| Draw | 4.02+302 | 24.5% | No value −1.5% |
| Preston North EndAway | 5.05+405 | 21.5% | Value +8.7% |
Birmingham CityvsQueens Park Rangers
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham CityHome | 2.06+106 | 46.1% | No value −5.0% |
| Draw | 3.65+265 | 27.2% | No value −0.7% |
| Queens Park RangersAway | 3.85+285 | 26.7% | Value +2.8% |
West Bromwich AlbionvsBlackburn Rovers
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Bromwich AlbionHome | 1.91-110 | 49.8% | No value −4.9% |
| Draw | 3.66+266 | 26.5% | No value −3.0% |
| Blackburn RoversAway | 4.50+350 | 23.7% | Value +6.7% |
Bristol CityvsSheffield United
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol CityHome | 2.23+123 | 43.1% | No value −4.0% |
| Draw | 3.61+261 | 27.3% | No value −1.3% |
| Sheffield UnitedAway | 3.35+235 | 29.6% | No value −0.8% |
Norwich CityvsPortsmouth
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich CityHome | 1.75-133 | 54.5% | No value −4.6% |
| Draw | 4.10+310 | 24.2% | No value −0.8% |
| PortsmouthAway | 4.90+390 | 21.3% | Value +4.4% |
SouthamptonvsBolton Wanderers
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SouthamptonHome | 1.48-208 | 64.3% | No value −4.9% |
| Draw | 5.30+430 | 19.9% | Value +5.4% |
| Bolton WanderersAway | 6.73+573 | 15.9% | Value +6.7% |
Swansea CityvsWest Ham United
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea CityHome | 2.82+182 | 34.8% | No value −1.7% |
| Draw | 3.70+270 | 26.3% | No value −2.6% |
| West Ham UnitedAway | 2.45+145 | 38.8% | No value −4.9% |
Tuesday, October 20
How to read this page
The best line is the highest price we have seen across the books we check. The fair probability strips the bookmaker's margin (the vig), so it is what the market would pay with no commission, and the value indicator compares the two: it says whether the price pays more or less than it should. All in one place, match by match.