Tuesday, October 27
Bradford CityvsPeterborough United
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford CityHome | 1.75-133 | 54.2% | No value −5.2% |
| Draw | 4.00+300 | 25.0% | No value −0.1% |
| Peterborough UnitedAway | 4.91+391 | 20.8% | Value +2.3% |
Fleetwood TownvsArsenal
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fleetwood TownHome | 33.00+3200 | 4.1% | Value +36.8% |
| Draw | 12.98+1198 | 9.1% | Value +17.9% |
| ArsenalAway | 1.10-1000 | 86.8% | No value −4.6% |
Wednesday, October 28
Manchester CityvsBrighton and Hove Albion
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester CityHome | 1.65-154 | 58.1% | No value −4.1% |
| Draw | 4.40+340 | 22.6% | No value −0.7% |
| Brighton and Hove AlbionAway | 5.30+430 | 19.3% | Value +2.4% |
FulhamvsCrystal Palace
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FulhamHome | 2.21+121 | 44.2% | No value −2.4% |
| Draw | 3.85+285 | 25.9% | No value −0.5% |
| Crystal PalaceAway | 3.32+232 | 30.0% | No value −0.4% |
BournemouthvsAston Villa
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BournemouthHome | 2.28+128 | 42.7% | No value −2.6% |
| Draw | 3.75+275 | 26.6% | No value −0.3% |
| Aston VillaAway | 3.25+225 | 30.7% | No value −0.2% |
SunderlandvsBrentford
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SunderlandHome | 3.20+220 | 30.6% | No value −2.0% |
| Draw | 3.60+260 | 27.5% | No value −1.1% |
| BrentfordAway | 2.31+131 | 41.9% | No value −3.2% |
LiverpoolvsChelsea
Odds (best line)
| Outcome | Best line | Fair prob. | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| LiverpoolHome | 2.88+188 | 34.6% | No value −0.3% |
| Draw | 3.90+290 | 25.7% | Value +0.1% |
| ChelseaAway | 2.44+144 | 39.7% | No value −3.1% |
Thursday, October 29
How to read this page
The best line is the highest price we have seen across the books we check. The fair probability strips the bookmaker's margin (the vig), so it is what the market would pay with no commission, and the value indicator compares the two: it says whether the price pays more or less than it should. All in one place, match by match.